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- June 22, 1987BRITAINAll Revved Up
-
-
- Thatcher rides again, winning a chance to finish her
- "revolution"
-
-
- Stylishly dressed, hair perfectly coiffed and wearing the
- inevitable pearl earrings, Margaret Thatcher had dropped by for
- yet another of British election organizers' much loved photo
- opportunities. This time it was a famous motorcycle
- manufacturer in Newton Abbot, Devonshire. The Prime Minister,
- ever the lady, would not be pushed into providing a spectacle
- for the press. "I think that would be a bit gimmicky, don't
- you?" she declared, politely declining requests to sit on a
- motorcycle or even grip the handlebars. But Thatcher is not one
- to miss such an opportunity entirely, and almost coyly she
- allowed her fingers to trace the name on the machine as
- photographers snapped away. It read TRIUMPH.
-
- The prophecy proved accurate. Last week Thatcher's Tory Partly
- was resoundingly returned to office, although with a reduced
- majority. She thus became the first Prime Minister in modern
- British political history to win three successive general
- elections. The country's 43.7 million voters,who regard her
- iron-willed leadership with a mixture of admiration and anxiety,
- gave the Conservatives a 101-seat majority in the 650-member
- House of Commons, 43 fewer than the party had won in the 1983
- elections. But that was more than sufficient for Thatcher to
- pursue her "unfinished revolution" in reshaping the political,
- economic and social fabric of Britain. When she was first
- elected in 1979, the country was in such economic peril that
- only 2 1/2 years earlier it had sought a bailout loan from the
- International Monetary Fund. Today Britain is a leading
- creditor nation with a vibrant economy, a rising currency and
- a booming stock market that soared anew in response to the Tory
- victory. Thatcher, says London's SUnday Times, has brought
- about Britain's "biggest transformation since the Industrial
- Revolution."
-
- Under Neil Kinnock, 45, a balding, red-haired Welshman, the
- ever squabbling Labor Party managed to increase its seats in the
- House to 229 from the 209 it won in 1983, though last week's
- showing was still the party's second worst in more than a
- half-century. The most disappointed loser was the
- Liberal-Social Democratic Alliance, which had become a third
- force in British politics in its six years of existence. Led
- by the Liberals' David Steel and the Social Democrats' David
- Owen, the Alliance had aimed to eclipse Labor as the main
- opposition party. Instead, its representation in the House was
- reduced to 22 seats from the 23 it won in the previous election.
- The vote was a landmark in one respect: three blacks and an
- Indian, all Labor candidates, became the first nonwhites elected
- to the House of Commons since 1922.
-
- On Saturday, Thatcher named a new 21-member Cabinet. Most were
- holdovers, but there were two surprises. Norman Tebbit, the
- Conservative Party chairman who had just led the Tories to
- victory, resigned as Minister Without Portfolio. Though no
- reason was given, he reportedly wanted to spend more time with
- his wife, who was badly injured during a 1984 bombing attack by
- the Irish Republican Army. Cecil Parkinson, who resigned in 1983
- in the midst of a sex scandal (he had fathered his secretary's
- child), rejoined the Cabinet as Energy Secretary.
-
- For Margaret Hilda Thatcher, 61, the daughter of a grocer from
- the Lincolnshire town of Grantham, the hefty Tory majority could
- help her attain the prime goal for her third term, to "destroy
- socialism," which has been a decisive force in British life
- since the end of World War II. The election results will also
- enable her to continue with the economic policy that is now
- known as Thatcherism. Since she came to power in 1979, her
- policy of cutting back on inefficient industries and attacking
- inflation with tight money and reduced government spending has
- greatly expanded the middle class and transformed Britain from
- the sick man of Europe to the fastest- growing economic power
- in the European Community. "We have put the Great back into
- Britain," she repeatedly declared during the campaign. Last
- May, shortly after she called the elections 13 months before the
- end of her five-year term, she insisted, "Our country has
- changed for the better. We have discovered a new strength and
- a new pride."
-
- Many Britons see a different country, where the gap between the
- well- off of the green, leafy south and the struggling workers
- of much of the gritty, industrial north has widened under
- Thatcher. Indeed, the election results confirmed this divide,
- with support for Labor up 7% in the north and the Tories' vote
- rising 25% in the south. That schism led in large measure to
- the Tories' reduced representation in Parliament. Unemployment
- has increased threefold over the past eight years. A record 3
- million Britons are without jobs today, although the figures
- have been declining for the past nine months. The health
- service and the educational system are in chaos. Said the
- Sunday Observer: "We are fast moving--in crucial areas like
- health and education--toward private affluence and public
- squalor."
-
- Thatcher had the good fortune to face as her main opposition a
- Labor Party still scarred by dissension. A majority of voters
- rejected its policies of increased public spending and
- unilateral nuclear disarmament. The party was committed to
- abandoning the British nuclear deterrent and seeking the removal
- of all U.S. cruise missiles and other nuclear weapons from
- British soil. Many Britons, including some Labor supporters,
- believe that policy would leave the country at the mercy of the
- Soviets. Kinnock seemed to admit as much when he told
- Television Interviewer David Frost that a nonnuclear Britain's
- best defense against the Soviets would be to use "all the
- resources you have got to make any [Soviet] occupation totally
- untenable." Within hours, Thatcher was accusing Kinnock of
- hoisting "the white flag of surrender." Later she told a rally,
- "I'm a mum, and I like to think that those who believe in
- keeping Britain strong, free and properly defended belong in
- mum's army."
-
- After the election, the Alliance's Owen joined in the criticism
- of Labor's policies. "They were unelectable and are
- unelectable," he declared. "The reason Labor has not delivered
- is that their policies stink." Owen, however, was having his
- own problems. The Alliance had counted on this election to gain
- a surge of new support from middle-of-the-road voters, but its
- share of the popular vote actually declined nearly 3 percentage
- points from 1983, putting its survival in doubt. Analysts
- believe the Alliance suffered because there were fewer
- uncommitted voters in this election. The two Alliance parties
- may also have lost support through their public disagreements
- over Britain's nuclear policy.
-
- The campaign was an ill-tempered four-week ordeal, with Labor's
- main hatchet man, Shadow Foreign Secretary Denis Healey,
- variously comparing the Prime Minister to Catherine the Great
- and Genghis Khan. The electorate looked on in apparent
- bemusement at a campaign that rarely sent the national pulse
- racing and was, American-style, fought out largely on
- television. In another imitation of U.S. campaigning, both
- major parties relied on photo opportunities, carefully
- choreographed meetings with voters, and ticket-holders-only
- rallies of the faithful.
-
- Election analysts agreed that Labor had ensured its survival as
- one of Britain's two major parties by mounting a superior
- campaign. Party strategists focused their effort on the
- personable Kinnock and his wife Glenys. Cannily avoiding the
- largely Tory, London-based press, the couple spent long periods
- campaigning in the provinces, far from London. "The style was
- vintage Jimmy Carter," noted a Western ambassador in London.
- Thatcher, by contrast, made the usual one-day campaign forays
- from the capital. "The Kinnocks were packaged with
- professionalism and flair," conceded a Conservative politician,
- "while most of the time we seemed to lack both." Thatcher
- occasionally stumbled, as when she was asked why she had taken
- out private medical insurance rather than relying on the
- National Health Service. She replied, "To enable me to go into
- hospital on the day I want, at the time I want, with the doctor
- I want." That led Owen to castigate her for indifference toward
- those who cannot afford the luxury of choosing between private
- and state health care.
-
- Less than 65 hours before the polls opened, Thatcher flew by
- private jet to the seven-nation Venice summit, where the
- televised image of her moving easily among major world leaders
- was not lost on voters. At his last campaign rally, Kinnock
- mocked the Venice trip before a crowd in the bleak northern city
- of Leeds. Said he: "And now the TV spectacular to end all TV
- spectaculars: Venice. Cinderella on canal. She went there
- because somebody told her she could walk down the middle of the
- street."
-
- That final, cocky gesture was typical of Kinnock, who entered
- the campaign with a reputation as a political lightweight. In
- just over 3 1/2 years as Labor's leader he had rarely bested
- Thatcher in their almost weekly jousts during the Prime
- Minister's question time in the House of Commons, and he had
- been ridiculed for his often rambling and emotional speeches.
- He was criticized by radical leftists in the Labor Party for
- moving it too far toward the center. But his eloquent campaign
- attacks against Tory parsimony won him respect as a warm,
- compassionate leader. In one crowd-pleasing piece of oratory
- last week, he evoked the meter of Welsh Poet Dylan Thomas when
- he declared there were just four more days left of
- "hope-destroying, unemploying, care-cutting, factory-shutting,
- nation-splitting, poor- hitting, truth-mangling,
- freedom-strangling Toryism."
-
- Perhaps the major issue in the campaign was Thatcher's dream of
- a more prosperous, more assertive Britain in contrast to Labor's
- view of a country in crisis. It was Labor, however, that had
- presided over many of the country's frequent economic crises in
- the 1960s and '70s. By the time Thatcher arrived in 1979,
- Britain was saddled with a costly welfare state in which
- labor-management relations were mired in class conflict and
- industry was aging and inefficient. Since then, Thatcher has
- transformed Britain more dramatically than any Prime Minister
- since Clement Attlee, who presided over the creation of the
- welfare state in the late 1940s. Her third term is likely to be
- an extension of the Thatcher revolution. Since Britain began
- pulling out of the recession in 1981, the economy has grown at
- an annual rate of around 3%, and annual productivity is growing
- 3.5%, not far behind Japan's 4%. Inflation is down to 3.5% from
- a high of 24.2% in 1975. Many Britons have prospered under
- Thatcher. Partly because of government efforts to encourage the
- creation of new companies in the services area, 1 million people
- have jobs that did not exist before Thatcher came to office.
- In fact, in 1979 only 30% of the British were considered middle
- class; now nearly half the country fits that description. And
- through incentives to small business, Thatcher has opened doors
- to entrepreneurs. For all that, some of Thatcher's countrymen
- clearly prefer the older Britain, slower paced, caring and
- imbued with a frayed gentility. Even some Conservatives have
- expresses concern that Thatcher has seemed callous toward the
- poor and the disadvantaged. For her part, the Prime Minister
- argues that she has turned a "lame-duck economy into a bulldog
- economy." Only vigorous growth, she insists, can support the
- level of social services Britons demand. The election, she
- said recently, was not a "choice between a caring party and an
- uncaring one. All decent people care about the sick, the
- unfortunate and the old. It is false and wicked to suggest
- otherwise."
-
- Still, Thatcher's major challenge in her third term will be the
- problems of poverty and joblessness. While new employment is
- up, some 2 million jobs have disappeared, mostly in coal mining,
- ship- building and other declining industries that Britain, like
- other Western countries, has been weaning away from government
- subsidies in order to force greater efficiency. Inequality has
- persisted, with half the British population now holding 93% of
- the country's wealth, down only marginally from 95% in 1979.
- Says Peter Townsend, professor of social policy at the
- University of Bristol: "Eight years of Thatcherism have
- resulted in a widening gap between rich and poor."
-
- To help narrow this gap, Thatcher has proposed a job training
- scheme for all secondary-school dropouts and, within five years,
- job training for all those under 50 who have been unemployed for
- two years. Actually finding jobs for these trainees, however,
- may be difficult. In a March poll, a majority of voters
- questioned said they would forgo the tax cuts delivered this
- year by the government if the savings were used to improve
- unemployment, health and education. Yet Thatcher is opposed to
- large increases in public spending for social programs and job
- creation. Her fear is that inflation will break loose again.
- The Tories prefer restraint, with government spending rising
- only 1 1/4% a year through 1991, a figure that could increase
- as the economy improves.
-
- One spread-the-wealth measure that Thatcher is expected to
- pursue vigorously is her program of "people's capitalism," under
- which state-owned companies are being sold to the public. Since
- 1979 more than one-third of Britain's nationalized industries
- have gone public- -including British Telecom, British Gas,
- British Airways and Rolls- Royce--bringing in more than $29
- billion for the treasury. What Napoleon called a "nation of
- shopkeepers" has changed under Thatcher into a nation of
- shareholders. Nearly 20% of adult Britons own stock nowadays,
- triple the number in 1979. Next in line for sale: the British
- Airports Authority, regional water boards and the electricity
- industry.
-
- The Prime Minister will also encourage the sale of subsidized,
- local council-owned houses and apartments to their tenants, a
- program she began in her first term. Since then, the number of
- owner-occupied homes has risen from 50% to 66%. Her goal for
- the third term is 75%.
-
- Thatcher's concern for the emerging middle class contrasts with
- her distaste for organized labor. In the three decades before
- she took over, wildcat strikes had torn holes in the country's
- economy. Major trade unions were considered more powerful than
- the government, and labor unrest helped topple two Prime
- Ministers, Edward Heath in 1974 and James Callaghan in 1979.
- Thatcher changed all that. Starting in 1980 she pushed through
- legislation to limit picketing rights, ban secondary picketing
- and make national unions financially responsible for the actions
- of their members. She has taken on a number of the country's
- most powerful unions and crushed them: in 1985 after a bitter
- one-year strike, and the teachers last year. Partly as a result
- of Thatcher's efforts, union membership has fallen by one-
- quarter, to 9 million, and strikes are at a 50-year low. The
- number of workdays lost to labor disputes has declined from 29.5
- million in 1979 to a mere 1.9 million last year. In her third
- term Thatcher plans legislation to further curb the power of the
- unions.
-
- The country's education system has slipped badly under
- Thatcher. Critics charged that spending has been cut 10% after
- inflation, and even her Minister for Information Technology,
- Geoffrey Pattie, complains that "schools are turning out
- dangerously high quotas of illiterate, delinquent
- unemployables." One Tory proposal is to take control of
- secondary and primary schools away from local councils, many of
- them Labor dominated, and give principals and school boards more
- power over their budgets.
-
- Britain's National Health Service also has deteriorated. With
- a staff of 1 million, the NHS will spend $33 billion this year,
- but its patient waiting lists are the longest in the European
- Community. As many as 700,000 people are waiting for surgery,
- some of them have been for years. Budget cuts have closed 20
- hospitals in the London area alone. The government points out,
- however, that spending on the health service has actually
- increased 2 1/2 times in the past eight years. The government
- has already set aside $83 million for a two- year program to
- treat more than 100,000 patients waiting for operations.
-
- Under Thatcher the country has asserted itself more on the
- world stage than at any other time since the 1956 loss of the
- Suez Canal, and event widely regarded as the end of Britain's
- days as a major world power. She presided over the 1982 victory
- against Argentina in the Falklands war, and despite domestic
- opposition, pressed ahead with the modernization of Britain's
- aging Polaris nuclear submarine fleet, accepted U.S. cruise
- missiles on British soil and last year allowed U.S. F-111s to
- strike Libya from British air bases. Her visit to Moscow in
- April, during which she spent 13 hours in private with Mikhail
- Gorbachev, cemented her position as a world figure. British
- cartoonists have even taken to portraying her with a
- Churchillian cigar. She plans to visit Reagan in July, and it
- is likely that once again the discussion will center on
- negotiations for an intermediate-range nuclear forces agreement
- with the Soviets.
-
- Over the past eight years the British have learned to take
- seriously something Thatcher says about herself: "If you want
- someone weak, you don't want me." Indeed, she is often compared
- to a hectoring nanny. Although some voters hope her newly won
- third term will be her last hurrah, she insists that "I have no
- wish to retire for a very long time. I am still bursting with
- energy."
-
- The Prime Minister typically rises at 6, after only five hours'
- sleep, and breakfasts on black coffee and vitamin pills. She
- often fixes simple meals for herself and Husband Denis, 72, a
- retired businessman and avid golfer. Thatcher's own favorite
- recreation appears to be reading briefing papers. She has
- groomed no obvious successor among the Tories, and remarked
- early in the campaign that she might "go on and on," perhaps
- seeking a fourth term. "What would she do if she weren't Prime
- Minister?" asks Tory Chairman Tebbit. "One doesn't see her
- retiring to gardening or making marmalade." One does not.
-
- --By David Brand. Reported by Frank Melville/Leeds and
- Christopher Ogden/London
-
-